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Planned Features -- Workforce Projection Model

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These are features of the projection model that have been identified for iHRIS Plan. These features define the data inputs for determining workforce supply, projecting requirements and proposing interventions, but do not describe features of the actual software. Those features are detailed on another page.

Features are divided into 4 categories:

  • In: These are features planned for the first iteration of the software, scheduled for development and release in June 2008. These features were chosen to be "in" based on a balance between simplicity and impact, and were identified as highest priority in the HRH Workforce Projection Model Workshop.
  • Would Be Nice: These are features that will be included in the first iteration of the software if development time allows. If not, they will be slated for a subsequent iteration. These features may be more complex than those designated as 'in' but were also identified as a higher priority.
  • Later: These are features that will be addressed in a later iteration of the software. Generally, these features are more complex and therefore difficult to develop, and were designated as a lower priority.
  • Out: These are features that are determined to be out of scope and will not be included in the software.

These features are under discussion. Comments and suggestions are welcome.

IN: high-priority 1st iteration model features

  • Simple model requiring the minimum data inputs (Dewdney model)
  • National-level projections
  • Public sector workforce
  • Link projections to costs by cadre

Supply Inputs

  • Input present stock of health workers by cadre
  • Input salary costs by cadre

Requirements Projection

  • Input present population and projected population growth rate to determine requirements

Interventions Projection

  • Project change in attrition due to any factor

IN: high-priority 2nd iteration model features

Supply Inputs

  • Input training institution intakes and outputs by cadre
  • Input training costs by cadre
  • Break down inputs by age
  • Break down workforce by public or private sector
  • District-level projections
  • Clarify assumptions when they are being made

Interventions Projection

  • Model multiple interventions with more complex factors

WOULD BE NICE: medium-priority model features

  • Distinguish between detailed, robust short-term projections and estimated long-term projections showing larger trends
  • Working availability or full-time equivalents

Supply Inputs

  • Input present stock of health workers by institution type
  • Break down inputs by gender

Requirements Projection

  • Use the locations (facilities) method for projecting requirements
  • Input number and major types of health facilities
  • Input staffing standards by each type of institution

Interventions Projection

  • Out migration or intention to emigrate

LATER: lower-priority model features

  • Facility-level projections
  • Regional projections
  • In-service and pre-service training capacity
  • Targeted services need (such as MCH, HIV/AIDS, etc.)
  • Impact of demographic changes (such as change in birth rate)
  • Impact of epidemiological changes
  • Labor market dynamics (such as unemployment)

Supply Inputs

  • Input cross-national border flows by cadre

Requirements Projection

  • Break down population by gender
  • Break down population by geographic distribution


None defined.